Entry Name:  "ASTRI-Park-MC1"

VAST Challenge 2014
Mini-Challenge 1

 

 

Team Members:

Jihyoun Park, ASTRI, jhpark@astri.org PRIMARY

Mengte Miao, ASTRI, mtmiao@astri.org

Yang Liu, ASTRI, yangliu@astri.org

Carlos K. F. TSE, ASTRI, carlosetse@astri.org

Minjing Mao, ASTRI, minjingmao@astri.org

Amir S.Y. Liao, ASTRI, amirliao@astri.org

Hua Cai, ASTRI, caihua90@gmail.com

Xiuhua Wang, ASTRI, waixiu@htomail.com

Kent K.H. Wu, ASTRI, khwu@astri.org

Zhibin James Lei, ASTRI, lei@astri.org

 

Student Team:  

No

 

Analytic Tools Used:

PostgreSQL  (http://www.postgresql.org/)

Nodejs (http://nodejs.org/)

D3 (Data-Driven Documents, http://d3js.org/)

Standford NLP API (http://nlp.stanford.edu/software/lex-parser.shtml)

OWL API (http://owlapi.sourceforge.net/)

Apache POI API (http://poi.apache.org/)

Self-developed java-based visual analytic tool, developed in ASTRI (Hong Kong Applied Science and Technology Research Institute Company Ltd.), Hong Kong

 

Approximately how many hours were spent working on this submission in total?

700 hours

 

May we post your submission in the Visual Analytics Benchmark Repository after VAST Challenge 2014 is complete?

Yes

 

Video:

http://210.3.53.50/vast/astri-park-mc1-video.wmv

 

astri-park-mc1-video

 

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Questions

MC1.1 – Provide a visual representation of the structure of the Protectors of Kronos network, with supporting evidence.

a.       Who are the leaders?

b.      Who is part of the extended network?

c.       How has the group structure and organization changed over time?

d.      Where are the potential connections between the POK and GAStech?

Provide novel visualizations appropriate for communicating key information to the busy leaders of the investigation. Please limit your response to no more than eight images and 500 words.

 

We developed a data processor for MC1 with all the data (news, articles, resumes, emails…) as input. Therefore it is easy to enquiry or analyze the information as shown in the enquiry examples. Also D3 figures were used to visualize the result.

a. Who are the leaders?

Before 2001, Henk Bodrogi was the lead.

From 2001 to 2009, Elian Karel was the lead. The lead group included Mandor Vann, Silvia Marek, Isia Vann, Lucio Jakab, and Lorenzo Di Stefano.

In 2009, Elian Karel died in prison. Silvia Marek was later the lead. The lead group included Mandor Vann, Isia Vann, Lucio Jakab, and Lorenzo Di Stefano.

 

Figure 1.1.1 Leadership enquiry

 

Figure 1.1.2 D3 collapse tree for leadership enquiry

 

b. Who is part of the extended network?

Before 2001, Joclyn Reynolds (WFA project manager), Hank Fluss (GAStech COO) and Cesare Nespola (Government Minister of Health) were the extended network.

After 2001, the network includes Silvia Marek and Lucio Jakab network from Save Our Wildlands, and Professor Lorenzao Di Stefano from the University of Abila. It can be seen that the extended network are absorbed into POK now.

 

Figure 1.1.3 Extended network enquiry

 

Figure 1.1.4 D3 collapse tree for extended network enquiry

 

c. How has the group structure and organization changed over time?

Initially, the organization was a small grass root group with seven people. Caminine Osvaldo helped the lead Henk Bodrogi to connect with outside support, therefore POK’s impact increased. Later, after the leadership transfer was done from Henk Bodrogi to Elian Karel in 2001, Elian started recruiting from local civils since the previous support from Kronos government and GAStech disappeared. Local organizations such as Save Our Wildlands joined POK. Although Elian succeeded to maintain a peaceful struggle during his leading time, after Elian’s death in 2009, POK’s protest and activities became more radical.

 

Figure 1.1.5 POK period enquiry

 

Figure 1.1.6 D3 collapse tree for POK period enquiry

 

d. Where are the potential connections between the POK and GAStech?

The enquiry results shows two people as connections between GAStech and POK. Hank Fluss was the supporter of POK in the early stage (Grassroots Movement) as well as employee of GAStech. Isia Vann is a current link between GAStech and POK since he is both a member in POK and an employee in GAStech.

It is interesting to see our algorithm reveals that the contaminated water is an issue created by GAStech and concerned by POK. Therefore the contaminated water issue connects POK GAStech and POK, too.

 

Figure 1.1.7 POK-GAStech Connection enquiry for Hank Fluss.

 

Figure 1.1.8 POK-GAStech connection enquiry for Isia Vann.

 

MC1.2 – Describe the events of January 20-21, 2014. What is the timeline of events? Please limit your response to no more than ten images and 500 words.

 

The co-occurrence count (relationship) among keywords and the TFIDF (unique importance) of keyword are presented in time line as well as D3 bubble chart to identify events. According to the time line text, we can have an overview to key events. After that, for a given epoch, we check the bubble chart for general information of events including people, location and actions. If the event read from bubble chart is not clear enough, we can look at original news text in a parallel window.

 

The key events are listed in this section as MC1.2.x where x is the event number.

Jan. 20 morning

Figure 1.2.1 Time line for Jan. 20 morning.

 

-         MC1.2.1 09:00-10:00

Annual GAStech International meeting was held.

-         MC1.2.2 10:00-11:00

Fire alarm at GAStech was raised in respond to a bomb threat. People evacuated from the building, fireman entered the building, and a helicopter evacuated people from roof.

Figure 1.2.2 Bubble chart to summarize the event in 10:00-11:00 Jan. 20

 

-         MC1.2.3 11:00-12:00

GAStech people re-entered the buildings since the alarm was confirmed false. CEO and executive group did not reappear.

Figure 1.2.3 Bubble chart to summarize the event in 11:00-12:00 Jan. 20

 

-         MC1.2.4 12:00-13:00

Police arrived at GAStech

-         MC1.2.5 13:00-14:00

No one from executive group answered calls.

Jan. 20 afternoon

Figure 1.2.4 Time line for Jan. 20 afternoon.

 

-         MC1.2.6 14:00-15:00

Kronos Government officials arrived at GAStech.

-         MC1.2.7 14:00-15:00

Two planes left Kronos in the noon with 14-16 people. One was to Rome Italy. One of them was a classified airplane with eight people left around 2:30 PM

-         MC1.2.8 15:00-17:00

Police interviewed people in the building before the employees were permitted to leave. It is said that black dress non-employees were seen before fire alarm.

Figure 1.2.6 Bubble chart to summarize the event in 16:00-17:00 Jan. 20

Jan. 20 night

Figure 1.2.8 Time line for Jan. 20 night.

 

-         MC1.2.9 17:00-18:00

Kidnapping was confirmed but the number of people missing was undetermined. POK was the suspect.

-         MC1.2.10 17:00-18:00

People in black dress were freed.

-         MC1.2.11 18:00-19:00

Security experts from Tethys arrived at Kronos

-         MC1.2.12 19:00-20:00

Edvard Vann was interviewed.

-         MC1.2.13 20:00-22:00

Kronos official confirmed the kidnap and 14 individual were confirmed missing.

-         MC1.2.14 22:00-23:00

Tethys police arrived at Abila.

Figure 1.2.8 Bubble chart to summarize the events in 22:00-23:00 Jan. 20

-         MC1.2.15 23:00-24:00

Abila official confirmed that bomb treat was a false report.

Jan 21 morning

Figure 1.2.9 Time line for Jan. 21 morning.

-         MC1.2.16 09:00

The number of missing people was revised from 14 to 10.

-         MC1.2.17 10:00

GAStech CEO was announced to be safe.

-         MC1.2.18 11:00

POK contacted reporter to deliver message.

-         MC1.2.18 12:00

POK asked for a ransom 20 million.

Figure 1.2.10 Bubble chart to summarize the event from 12:00 to 13:00, Jan. 21

 

MC1.3 – Identify at least two possible explanations why the GAStech employees may be missing. What evidence do you have to support each of these explanations? Please limit your response to no more than three additional images and 200 words.

 

One possible reason is the revenge from Vann family in POK to GAStech and Kronos government. The enquiry to Julianna showed she died of pollution caused by GAStech in 1998. The local government did not take strong measurements to prevent the harm or improve the situation.

 

Figure 1.3.1 Possible explanation - Julianna Vann’ death and family revenge

 

Another possible motivation is money. Due to the less support caused by the shrinking network, POK may need financial support. Figure 1.3.2 showed there has been a $20 million ransom request from POK after the disappearance.

 

Figure 1.3.2 Possible explanation – Ransom request from POK on Jan. 21 12:00.

 

The third motion behind the employee disappearance may be to beat the company as well as to call people’s attention on the GAStech pollution issue. As shown in figure 1.3.3, the IPO brought GAStech huge profit to the cost of continuous pollution in Kronos. POK may use the radical method to remind local people to protect the homeland.

 

Figure 1.3.3 Possible explanation – GAStech IPO and profits for executive members